The Reasoning of Sherlock Holmes

Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, through the voice of Sherlock Holmes: “We balance probabilities and choose the most likely. It is the scientific use of the imagination.”

What’s more probable?

Trump, a proven liar of epic proportion, is telling the truth that the current investigation into his criminality is just another witch hunt perpetrated by the deep state (the biggest one in U.S. history), or

Trump is guilty of one or more felonies.