In a note I just received from Ted Hoeller (pictured here), Chairman of the American Center For International Policy Studies, I learned that I’ve been honored to have been named a Research Fellow. One of the Center’s areas of interest is the “need for global sustainable development with regard to shelter, agriculture and enterprise.”
The group published my article on sustainable energy policy.
My thanks to everyone who has participated in the recent 2GreenEnergy survey. I note that Dr. David Doty, one of the greatest intellects I’ve ever run across, boldly predicted the following for the coming five years:
Oil, coal, and gas will steadily become more expensive at a mean rate of ~20%/year. EVs will have negligible impact on oil usage – for decades.
Global economic growth will still continue at a rate of ~2%/yr, and inflation in the U.S. will remain low.
The gap between the rich and the poor will continue to widen. It will take 10-12 more years of this before something close to revolution (major rioting) comes to the U.S. We will not see another period of sustained strong growth in the U.S. until several years after that happens.
We will not see serious and effective commitment to reduced CO2 emissions until after we’ve seen several years of strong economic growth.
Much of what you’ve written here is so counter to most people’s thinking — not to say that this means it’s wrong. 20% CAGR? (more…)
Perhaps the greatest single threat facing mankind today is our failure to apply reason to effect solutions. In fact, we appear to openly defy and ridicule the findings of our scientific community, writing them off as so many liars and frauds. At least here in the United States, a significant segment of our population has bought into the idea that science has conspired to fabricate the notion of global climate change, fudging the figures so as to create the appearance of a problem, in order to generate ongoing funding for additional research. (more…)
When I find examples of steadfastness to truth and decency in a world that pulls us so forcefully in the opposite direction, I often remark: “That’s character.” To be honest, every time I write those words, as I did in this little piece on coaching soccer, I’m in a way plagiarizing this wonderful commentary of a man I much admire, Michael Josephson, who made these comments about what was perhaps the greatest moment in sports history.
I hope you’ll take a moment out of your day and check this out, and that you’ll pass it along to the young people in your life who so desperately need the reminder that character really does count.
Here’s a great example of a pervasive trend in our consumer world: over-packaging. For a century or so, soap has come to us wrapped in a piece of paper that can be discarded or recycled, or perhaps a thin, light-duty cardboard box. Now, we have 7.5 ounces of liquid soap, sold in plastic bottles, each equipped with a pump that mixes the soap with air to form a pleasantly fragrant foam. The whole bottle-pump machine is disposable. In fact, even if you’re a reasonably eco-conscious consumer and wanted to re-use, CVS doesn’t even sell the soap in large bottles for those wishing to refill their pump bottles. (more…)
Tomorrow my daughter and I will spend the afternoon on a project for her science class at school: building a model house whose electrical power is delivered with solar photovoltaics. I have a small solar panel that (I believe) will put out about 5 Watts in the full sun, and a couple of flashlight batteries of different types. I think I’m going to have to experiment with series vs. parallel circuits, different bulbs, etc., before I get this right. Should be fun.
I think we’ve all had experiences that were such unmitigated disasters that they were actually funny. That’s the bottom line on today’s book signing at Roblar, a very nice local winery with which friends had made arrangements for me.
Not only did I not sell a single book, but I was heckled by a couple of the wine-tasters. This is a very “God and Country” part of the world, so, sadly, the whole concept of clean energy is met with a degree of skepticism and even derision.
I had a guy exclaim from halfway across a crowded room, “I don’t believe in global warming.” (more…)
I’d like to ask a favor, if I may. We have a quick survey up on the 2GreenEnergy website – one that, interestingly enough, calls for you to predict the future. Given our current energy policies and the rate at which they’re changing, what do you think the world will be like five years from now? What events do you believe are likely to occur between now and the year 2017? Which do you think are improbable?
As usual, we’ll tabulate the results and offer you a free copy of the report that comes as a result.
And as always, we appreciate your help.
Here’s the link:
http://2greenenergy.com/survey-what-will-happen-in-the-next-five-years/
For those who predict a smooth, predictable adoption of renewable energy, electric transportation, or anything at all, I enter into evidence this graphic showing the importance of social media in our world today.
As this is the day of Facebook’s IPO, it seems fitting to write a few words on the subject and ask: Did anyone forecast that social media would come to this position of cultural and financial dominance a few years ago? (more…)
Frequent commenter Len Novarro is part of a magnificent organization called BOOST (an acronym for Business, Organized global education and Opportunity in Science and Technology). Together with the Asian Heritage Society and Alliant International, the group informs, educates and mentors Asian girls, 12-16, principally in science and technology, in pursuit of careers as entrepreneurs.
I invite readers to check out the great work that Len and his team does – linked above.
