Yesterday, a conservative friend asked me what I thought was going to happen in November.

I responded that I don’t have any insight into this that isn’t available to the rest of the world, but, if we’re simply extrapolating the future from the present, i.e., barring anything unforeseeable, it looks like a Biden victory.

I base this on:

• A starting point: Biden’s 7 million vote win in 2020.

• The president’s accomplishments, albeit not well publicized.

• The 91 felony charges against Trump, and the likely path of progress in the criminal trials between now and November.

• The probable effect of public perception of Biden’s advancing age.

• The results of the GOP primaries, in which an average of about 40% of Republicans voted against Trump.

It seems that Trump has hit a hard limit in terms of his appeal to angry, easily persuaded, uneducated people.  There are tens of millions of them, but their numbers can’t grow much further.

Let me ask this about the meme above.  Yes, there are some voters who regard this garbage as a fair and meaningful representation of the issue at the southern border, but, if we were guessing at a percentage of their numbers, what would we estimate? It really couldn’t be more than about 25%.

Most people understand that illegal immigration is a serious, though complicated issue.  There are laws, both domestic and international, that must be complied with.  This is seen as the ultimate political football to some; as we all know, Republicans have no interest in resolving the issue prior to the November elections.  But there are people on both sides of the aisle who are working to resolve the situation with intelligence and compassion.

 

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Here’s a short video that shows how Trump is working to remove all honorable Republicans from positions of importance in the GOP.

If you’re Liz Cheney or Mitt Romney, Trump needs you gone, so that his cronies, e.g., folks like his codefendants in the Fulton County RICO case (see below), along with Steve Bannon, Mike Lindell, and the other pieces of scum can come to prominence.

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“Theological heresy” may be too strong a phrase, but the point made here is a strong one.

The idea that God favors American endeavors above those of the French or the Croatians is just plain stupid.

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I’m not sure where this came from, but it’s good:

They (Republican strategists) are seeing what we’re seeing. There are gigantic chunks of Republicans who are done with Trump. And that’s what’s going to make the difference in November. Now that Super Tuesday is over, the stage is officially set. In November, it’s America or Trump. And Trump may have bitten off more than he can chew. He’s not as powerful as he was in 2016, or even 2020. He’s slower, weaker, and lacking firepower. How do we know this? All you have to do is look at (Republican political consultant, policy advisor, and lobbyist) Karl Rove’s whiteboard.

Sure, Trump won most of his primaries yesterday, but not by the “huge” numbers he expected. In states like Virginia and Colorado, the orange messiah could barely muster up 60 percent of the vote. Oh, and let’s not forget what happened in Vermont, where Trump was utterly and completely embarrassed by Nikki Haley, who ended up taking the state. The cherry on top? These are GOP voters who hate the leader of their own party so much that they show up to the polls just to vote against him. These are the people who have made this primary season so special. Well, for us anyways.

The past few months have made us more optimistic than we could’ve hoped, and last night was no different. The bad man is losing, and that means the pro-democracy movement is winning. We know it, the media knows it, and even The Donald himself knows it.

To put it in simple terms: he’s hurting. His support is dwindling.

This isn’t completely dissimilar to what I see here, but I would caution that there are people who voted for Nikki Haley in the primaries who will feel forced to vote for Trump in the general election in November.

There will also be those who abstain.  Here, I’m thinking about people like my mom: intelligent, well-educated conservatives, who, bless their hearts, have no appetite for criminal sociopaths in the White House.

In any case, Rover brings us good news:  Trump is hurting badly.

 

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From this piece on Exxon’s role in blocking climate legislation:

“Democrats have focused particular ire on Exxon, after a senior lobbyist for the company was caught in a secret video bragging that Exxon had fought climate science through “shadow groups” and had targeted influential senators in an effort to weaken President Joe Biden’s climate agenda.”
These people need to hope that there is no hell.
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News flash to the driver of the SUV shown here: The last 45 years, with its huge tax breaks for corporations and the uber-rich, has presented the most enormous redistribution of wealth in U.S. history.

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Trump is clearly on the ropes, battered as he is by so many important demographics within the overall electorate.  Women rank high among them, but they are joined by all manner of men who are educated, honest, sane, and compassionate.

Having said this, it never ceases to amaze me how Trump gets any significant portion of the vote from the people he so openly despises.

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According to the Wall Street Journal, after two years of fierce lobbying against the SEC, the regulator has approved a rule that forces listed companies to report their greenhouse gas emissions, and reveal the risks their operations face from climate change, e.g., floods, droughts, wildfires, etc.

In an earlier version, companies would have had to submit such reports pertaining to the entire length of their supply chains.

In any case, even the weakened version of the rule is expected to face immediate litigation.

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There was a time in the recent past at which what Bertrand Russell predicted made perfect sense, and was, it seemed, in the process of coming to fruition.

At this point, however, it appears that humankind has hit a hard limit as to its capacity to replace religion with science in terms of informing its thinking and behavior.

And, as resources become more scarce due to environmental collapse, it’s understandable that the human race will become even more tribal, more superstitious, and less reliant on fair and objective methods of managing our affairs and solving the problems that we face as a species.

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The chalk drawing photographed here is simply incorrect.

You can’t tell me that when an anti-vaxxer is hospitalized, on a ventilator, dying an agonizing death, gasping for oxygen and slowly drowning in his own blood and pus, that a nagging thought doesn’t go through his head:

If I hadn’t rejected science because of something from QAnon I came across while “doing my own research,” perhaps this wouldn’t be happening to me.

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