Should decisions about re-opening the U.S. economy be made purely based on epidemiology?

Of course not.  Sure, suppose you come up with an idea for a COVID-19 policy, e.g., re-opening restaurants with no indoor seating, and you run it by the epidemiological community.  You will get in return, with the maximum degree of precision possible, the most likely outcome in terms of the short-, medium-, and long-term health of the population, given the realities of things like testing facilities, the number of ICU bed-spaces, the probability of a vaccine in a certain time horizon, etc.  (more…)

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My wife and I had an amusing incident that I thought I’d share, hoping that it will make you smile too.

Almost exactly a year ago, we were travelling in Central Europe with an incredibly knowledgeable guide, and wherever we went, I’d asked him how the local people regarded Trump.  In Croatia and Bosnia & Herzegovina, he said, “Well, there’s some support for Trump, but largely these people regard him as a conman who’s in the process of ruining the United States. We got to Slovenia, he said, “Are you kidding? Do you know where your First Lady is from?  They adore him!”

Twelve months later, it looks like the bloom is off the rose.  In the first place, it appears clear at this point that Melania is married to a criminal, whose comeuppance may be imminent; in the second place, he owes someone $400 million, and may not be able to repay him.

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A reader asks:  Do you know of any renewable energy companies that you think are well managed and positioned in their markets/industries? I want to start looking into rebalancing my investments.

Glad you asked. Tom Konrad, PhD is a close associate of mine, and he runs a blog called altenergystocks.com. The dude is brilliant, doctorate in math (chaos theory).  Committed to sustainability, and never stops reading/researching. At his recommendation, I bought Hannon Armstrong (HASI) at $5.03 in 2013. It closed at $40.88 yesterday.

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Though Venn diagrams have been around since the days of the mathematician John Venn in 1880, they didn’t become an important part of what kids leaned in school until the 1960s.  Now, of course, we see them everywhere, even when they’re used to express political comedy, e.g., the one at left.

This diagram is misdrawn, however, as it shows that all four presidents share all three characteristics, and I doubt that’s what the author intended.  My attempt at telling the story is here, and is interpreted as: only Trump shares all three characteristics.

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Question: The first and second laws of thermodynamics conspire to make perpetual motion impossible.  But suppose you’re like me, and you like to examine claims like the one below and identify precisely where they fall apart.  What’s the exact reason that the “Archimedes Machine” below isn’t possible?

Answer: Can be found at Clean Energy Answers.

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This is excellent.

Reminds us of Neil deGrasse Tyson’s explaining, “We, on a good day, teach our kids what to think.  But we don’t seem to realize how important it is to teach them how to think.”

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As we near the election, we see Biden’s lead in the polls continuing to grow, as Trump’s words and actions become increasingly erratic and frightening.  At the same time, we have the FBI statements to the effect that the voting process is extremely secure.  Yet we also see warnings like the one at the left.  What gives? (more…)

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Heresy?

That’s a strong word.

Maybe it’s just stupidity.

From the time I was in grade school I’ve been wondering why God would favor the endeavors of Americans over those of the French or Japanese.

It just didn’t seem very “Godlike.”

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From CNCB news analyst Rick Santelli, “I’ve said from day one, when Donald Trump gets in there, he’s going to make an equal number of Republicans unhappy as Democrats unhappy.”

If he’s talking about congresspeople themselves, he’s certainly right.

Democrats are appalled at the dishonesty, the corruption, and the self-dealing, and are deeply frustrated that they have been unable to rid our nation of this pestilence.   (more…)

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As if this comes as a surprise to anyone, Amy Barrett, Trump’s pick to replace Justice Ginsburg, has implied that she opposes the landmark 2007 decision Massachusetts vs. Environmental Protection Agency, which gave the federal government the power to regulate greenhouse gas emissions. (more…)

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